NFL Public Betting Trends 2025 26: Week 7 Bet & Money Percentages

Depending on who you talk to throughout the sports betting circles, they will definitely have an opinion about public betting. Public betting is which side of a specific wager that the majority of people (“the public”) is currently placing their money on. You will find the public bet and money percentages for each game of the March Madness tournament above.

Whether sportsbooks do/do not adjust the lines based on betting action often depends on who is making the wagers. If they are taking large bets from successful players, they will be more likely to move the odds in order to take action on the other side. If enough money is wagered on one side of a betting market, sportsbooks will usually shift the odds to encourage wagers on the opposite side (thus reducing their risk exposure). The run total splits in our Cubs/Cardinals example (90/10% in favor of the under) might encourage oddsmakers to drop the total to 7.0 or even 6.5.

Follow Or Fade The Public?

• Can heavily influence the money percentage, even if the majority of bets favor the opposite side.
• Some people will infer that sharps are backing the Cardinals and novice bettors are betting on the Cubs – because sharps tend to wager more.
• To see which side the public is on, you can research sports betting websites that show breakdowns of bets and money on each game with data they have pulled from different sportsbooks.
• This is a big reason why when you bet on sports, the lines and odds are not always even.
• That’s what makes sports betting challenging and why even highly skilled professional bettors hit only 55%.

Line movement is a key aspect of betting splits because comparing the two can give a great idea of the overall picture of the action and potential reverse line movement. For example, let’s say a commonly public team like the Dallas Cowboys are playing the Carolina Panthers. In this hypothetical matchup, the Cowboys are getting 82% of the public money, but the Panthers are actually getting 54% of the money coming in. This means that there is heavy sharp money coming in on Carolina, likely because the public money drove the line to a point where sharps identified value in Carolina. While the first shows how many bettors are on each side, the latter shows where the big money is going, which often reflects where professional or “sharp” bettors are placing their bets. In 2022, Paruyr co-founded Azuro, a decentralized betting protocol.

For example, if a game only has $1,000 wagered on it, you can throw out the idea of sharp action. When used right, betting splits help identify public bias, potential sharp spots, and market signals. Always analyze the matchup to understand why the public or sharps might be betting a certain way. Unlike the NFL, where you can track the lines over a week, NBA line movement will happen rapidly. Having access to this kind of data will allow you to track public consensus as well as identify where the sharp money is going. The NFL is one of the most accessible sports for tracking public betting.

While DraftKings attracts a large volume of casual bettors, Circa’s customer base skews sharper, meaning their splits can reflect more informed betting positions. Another common error is overestimating the importance of a single week of splits. The percentages from NFL public betting in one week might show heavy action on a specific team, but this doesn’t mean it will be the same in future weeks. Similarly, NBA or NFL bettors might interpret one week’s sharp action as a long-term indicator, overlooking other variables such as injuries, weather, or odds changes. Betting splits vary by bet type, such as moneyline, spread, or totals. For instance, money bet percentages on the moneyline might heavily favor an underdog, while the spread percentages lean toward the favorite.

Kalshi’s betting odds told a similar story, favoring Jones all year until the texting scandal broke. It gave Jones anywhere from an 80 to 99 percent chance of winning throughout the summer. As of Thursday, Miyares had a 62 percent chance of winning, while Jones had only a 38 percent chance in the market.

Early line movement often shows where sharp money is going, while late movement typically follows public money. Bet percentages show the distribution of individual wagers, and not the money amounts. If 70% of tickets are on the Denver Broncos, it means seven out of ten people betting chose Denver to cover. In other words, you are looking at bet volume, detached from the dollar bet amounts.

Professional bettors hit approximately 55%, with the best nailing 60-65% of their bets. In contrast, public bettors can usually be counted on to hit about 40% of their wagers. One way to spot where professional money is going is to look at the bets and money splits. There are times when you’ll see that 75% of the bets (tickets) are on one side, but most of https://bcgameindiaofficial.com/ the money put down is on the other. Below, we dive into why you’ll want to pay attention to the public betting percentage and how it can help you make better bets.

Compare public betting percentages to money-wagered percentages. One game and line may be a great opportunity to fade the public, another may not. Circumstances vary so you need to stay on top of the news, weather, and injury reports and analyze each situation with its public betting trends and line movement. If it’s a prime-time game or a game with a popular team, it’s more likely to be +EV (positive expected value) to fade the public.

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But it’s something to keep in mind for a long-term betting strategy, especially if you’re working with NFL public betting, NBA public betting and MLB public betting percentages. Look for significant splits between total bets placed and dollar amounts wagered. When 80% of bets back a team but only 45% of the money, casual bettors could be the reason. NFL public betting shows the percentage of bets on each team or outcome.

What are NFL Public Betting & Consensus Percentages

You may have noticed numerous advertisements for DraftKings during NFL games, but don’t disregard them, as claiming a DraftKings promo code can greatly contribute to your success as a bettor. – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here. Betting against the public has become such a popular method for so many. I have tracked the public’s betting record against the spread above to help you determine whether you should tail or fade the public.

First off, the betting handle is simply the total amount of money wagered on an event, often broken down by bet type. Moreover, understanding public betting percentages can also provide insights into how the betting lines might shift as the game time approaches. When it comes to sports betting, understanding how public opinion impacts betting lines is a powerful skill. Public betting percentages can reveal where the majority of wagers are being placed, and savvy bettors can use this information to identify opportunities and make more informed decisions. Ll break down what public betting percentages are, how to interpret them, and how you can use this knowledge to your advantage.

MLB public betting data provide an excellent place to start your MLB betting research. If you see the percentages skewed heavily in one direction, look deeper into why. If there was a significant injury or a pitching change, then it’s more likely that certain members of the public jumped on a soft line, which may no longer exist. There is no single answer to this and it will depend on the sportsbook and its appetite for risk. Generally, if sportsbooks are taking a ton of action on one side of an MLB line, they will adjust the odds to encourage wagering on the other side.